People
are all excited about EVs (taking batteries for granted as the energy
source), thinking that will save the world from CO2 emission and boost energy
efficiency. Yet, studies have shown that won’t be as rosy as people think it
is. With the targets of meeting certain emission standards measured in a given
time frame, such as a year, people often ignore the effect of how much energy
and emission were/will be involved in making these batteries and later
disposing them. If a government is not looking at the whole picture and
just want to meet some annual emission goals, it could take the whole country
or even guide the whole world to a wrong direction. Is battery really the right
solution? It’s still unanswered while more and more battery powered EVs are on
the road and more are coming. Here I don't want to get into all the headaches associated with charging EV batteries that is simply a nightmare as more and more EVs get on the road and need to be charged day and night. Nonetheless, I believe vehicle electrification will have its future, just not sure battery is the right answer to it.
In
additional to the above concern of what technology makes better sense for the future vehicles, we should also think what is the right form of
transportation in the future. Crowded cities like Shanghai, Tokyo, New York City
(NYC) are clearly different from a small rural town. Public transportation
is a far better choice in big cities. Beside the subway system that can get you
close to anywhere you want to be, you also have taxi to bridge the gap or if
you just want to avoid the hassle of walking, waiting and being sandwiched in the
subways. Shared-ride like Uber and Lyft have made it so much more convenient
than before when anyone wants to get a ride; and the upcoming autonomous taxi
service will make it even more exciting for a fee lower than today’s taxi. With
all these happening at a fast pace, why would people still want to own their
own cars if it’s not for the prestigious feel they have dreamed of? While this feel is quite strong in some countries, it will change over time and people
will adapt to the new way of life in the new economy in which owning personal vehicle
could become an old fashion.
This is very true. I have a 16 year old son and neither him or any of his closest friends have a drivers permit/license nor do they have any ambition to get one. They depend on share-ride services to get them around. It's a trend I am seeing more and more with upcoming generations. I am sure if you do the math with what you pay in auto payments, gas, maintenance, insurance it may not be too much of a difference than using solely public transportation or ride sharing companies.